Cagliari vs Bologna prediction
B
2026-10-24 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Cagliari vs Bologna prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Bologna (A) at 39.6%. The double-chance call is X2 at 70.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 39.6%
LowX2 · 70.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 39.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 31.0% | 39.5% | 29.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 30.0% | 30.5% | 39.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.0% | 26.0% | 46.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Cagliari
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Bologna
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-03 · Bologna 0–0 Cagliari
2025-10-19 · Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
2025-03-02 · Bologna 2–1 Cagliari
2024-10-29 · Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
2024-01-14 · Cagliari 2–1 Bologna
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: fb3ec602acc1be05704e0459b1ace93763b3d3a270b704f0d6e43654f1aedcd6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1