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Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

2026-10-18 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T12:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar match analysis

What is the Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: AZ Alkmaar (A) at 65.6%. The double-chance call is X2 at 84.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:06+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 65.6%

Medium
1 15.5%X 18.9%2 65.6%
Double chance

X2 · 84.5%

Medium
1X 34.4%X2 84.5%12 81.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:06+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 65.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 20%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings20.2%30.2%49.7%
Market · margin removed15.5%18.9%65.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson11.9%18.5%69.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Cambuur

LDWDW

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-11Zwolle (A)1–0
2026-09-19Den Haag (A)1–1
2026-09-12Nijmegen (H)3–0
2026-09-06Telstar (A)2–2
2026-08-30Twente (H)1–4

AZ Alkmaar

WWDWL

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Feyenoord (A)0–2
2026-09-20Telstar (H)1–0
2026-09-11Willem II (H)1–1
2026-09-06Heerenveen (A)3–2
2026-08-29Go Ahead Eagles (H)5–2

Head to head

2023-02-25 · AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Cambuur

2022-08-28 · Cambuur 0–1 AZ Alkmaar

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:06+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 43b5c88c497127e90adfc37c13c4858ffb89a79874677e7e8f2e94fdb036ba28
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →