Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction
GAE
2026-10-31 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T20:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Go Ahead Eagles (A) at 43.4%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 4–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 43.4%
Low12 · 75.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:46+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-31T18:55:19+00:00. 4.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-31T19:35:59+00:00.
2 · 39.7%
✕ Wrong12 · 75.4%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 32.0% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 24.5% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 43.4% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Cambuur
Draw
Go Ahead Eagles
All event markets · 3
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-31?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $10.20K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5882406Fetched 2026-11-11T17:32:28+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-02T01:26:18.181159Z
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $4.14K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5882407Fetched 2026-11-11T17:32:28+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-02T01:18:16.751223Z
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-31?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $6.01K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5882408Fetched 2026-11-11T17:32:28+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-01T21:36:18.17672Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-31T19:57:17+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 43.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 14%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.1% | 36.1% | 37.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 32.0% | 24.5% | 43.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 24.7% | 23.1% | 52.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Cambuur
Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Go Ahead Eagles
Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2023-03-05 · Cambuur 4–1 Go Ahead Eagles
2022-10-09 · Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 Cambuur
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: 5c8abbee2b05c1a5810763f48d4c24e7b0b55430be29d7f7fda2ee4907a4221a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1