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Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction

2026-10-24 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Cardiff vs Birmingham match analysis

What is the Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Birmingham (A) at 38.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 38.9%

Low
1 35.8%X 25.3%2 38.9%
Double chance

12 · 74.7%

Low
1X 61.1%X2 64.2%12 74.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:42+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 38.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings26.8%36.8%36.5%
Market · margin removed35.8%25.3%38.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson36.1%27.9%36.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Cardiff

LWLWD

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-17Middlesbrough (A)2–2
2026-10-13Watford (H)5–1
2026-10-10Blackburn (A)1–2
2026-09-19Charlton (H)3–1
2026-09-12Bolton (A)0–1

Birmingham

WDWWW

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-17QPR (H)3–0
2026-10-13Preston (H)4–0
2026-10-10West Brom (A)1–0
2026-09-19Middlesbrough (H)2–2
2026-09-12Derby (A)2–1

Head to head

2024-04-10 · Birmingham 0–1 Cardiff

2023-12-13 · Cardiff 0–1 Birmingham

2023-02-14 · Birmingham 0–2 Cardiff

2022-08-13 · Cardiff 1–0 Birmingham

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:42+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 1d505d95d03009a9a3e0f2a0763a2b078dcb878c0c0c5b83ba5cdf16f6270595
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →