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Cardiff vs Burnley prediction

2026-11-07 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Cardiff vs Burnley match analysis

What is the Cardiff vs Burnley prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Cardiff (H) at 45.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 5–4

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 45.1%

Low
1 45.1%X 24.9%2 30.0%
Double chance

12 · 75.1%

Low
1X 70.0%X2 54.9%12 75.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 45.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 30%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings23.1%33.1%43.8%
Market · margin removed45.1%24.9%30.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson15.9%24.4%59.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-04. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Cardiff

WDWLD

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-11-04West Ham (H)3–3
2026-10-31Wolves (A)0–3
2026-10-24Birmingham (H)1–0
2026-10-17Middlesbrough (A)2–2
2026-10-13Watford (H)5–1

Burnley

DLLDD

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-11-03QPR (A)1–1
2026-10-31Portsmouth (H)0–0
2026-10-24Lincoln (A)1–4
2026-10-16Wolves (H)1–2
2026-10-13Charlton (H)2–2

Head to head

2025-03-04 · Cardiff 1–2 Burnley

2024-08-17 · Burnley 5–0 Cardiff

2023-05-08 · Burnley 3–0 Cardiff

2022-10-01 · Cardiff 1–1 Burnley

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-04
Data fingerprint: 487925f8c67b5d9df031af7e6dd1902737f4d5041d15604e1d0762ee1b54ebf9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →