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Carlisle vs Boston Utd prediction

2026-11-14 · EC · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Carlisle vs Boston Utd match analysis

What is the Carlisle vs Boston Utd prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Carlisle (H) at 65.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 65.1%

Medium
1 65.1%X 19.3%2 15.6%
Double chance

1X · 84.4%

Medium
1X 84.4%X2 34.9%12 80.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:55+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 65.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings49.1%30.4%20.4%
Market · margin removed65.1%19.3%15.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson65.6%19.0%15.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-31. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Carlisle

WDWWW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-31Altrincham (A)4–2
2026-10-28Harrogate (H)3–0
2026-10-24Solihull (A)2–1
2026-10-10Kidderminster (H)0–0
2026-10-03Aldershot (A)3–1

Boston Utd

LLLWW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-31Scunthorpe (H)2–1
2026-10-27Gateshead (H)2–1
2026-10-24Eastleigh (A)2–4
2026-10-10Southend (H)1–2
2026-10-03Yeovil (A)0–6

Head to head

2026-03-21 · Carlisle 6–2 Boston Utd

2025-11-22 · Boston Utd 1–2 Carlisle

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-13T14:41:55+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-31
Data fingerprint: fe15e8c87d4b4d9be539792528869649615459fd9b8e2630df21ebc7bfd69a77
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →