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Castellon vs Sp Gijon prediction

2026-10-25 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Castellon vs Sp Gijon match analysis

What is the Castellon vs Sp Gijon prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Castellon (H) at 63.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 85.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 4–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 63.4%

Medium
1 63.4%X 22.0%2 14.6%
Double chance

1X · 85.4%

Medium
1X 85.4%X2 36.6%12 78.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 63.4%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 20%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings43.8%33.1%23.1%
Market · margin removed63.4%22.0%14.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson54.7%22.9%22.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Castellon

WWDLW

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.40
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-10-17Las Palmas (A)3–0
2026-10-11Andorra (A)0–1
2026-10-04Ceuta (H)1–1
2026-09-28Leganes (A)2–0
2026-09-19Tenerife (H)5–0

Sp Gijon

WLWWW

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-17Albacete (H)2–1
2026-10-11Cadiz (A)1–0
2026-10-04Celta B (H)3–2
2026-09-27Oviedo (A)0–2
2026-09-19Andorra (A)3–1

Head to head

2026-03-15 · Sp Gijon 4–1 Castellon

2025-10-05 · Castellon 3–1 Sp Gijon

2025-05-05 · Castellon 4–3 Sp Gijon

2024-10-14 · Sp Gijon 2–1 Castellon

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 13e6f170423536a48d5cb0b90ed806e30c8aed6fc08edb7e57efac43aab3ae9e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →