Castellon vs Tenerife prediction
T
2026-09-19 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Castellon vs Tenerife prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Castellon (H) at 61.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:20:06+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 5–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 61.8%
Medium1X · 84.4%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:20:06+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 61.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 49.2% | 30.4% | 20.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 61.8% | 22.6% | 15.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 55.3% | 24.8% | 19.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: 003d6379122d99bc3d6ef2e5e062e879fa12edb151e4a97ccddaaea15aabf9ae
Model: existing-source-policy-v1