Celta vs Santander prediction
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2026-09-19 · SP1 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Celta vs Santander prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Celta (H) at 52.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:17:01+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 5–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 52.9%
Low1X · 77.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:17:01+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 24%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.2% | 36.4% | 26.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 52.9% | 24.2% | 22.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 60.8% | 17.7% | 21.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-17
Data fingerprint: 24f66a09e3e0aca5289fff72e098b9b67203d77f1fc64a3826df29c205f6a07d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1