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Celtic vs Hearts prediction

2026-10-18 · SC0 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Celtic vs Hearts match analysis

What is the Celtic vs Hearts prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Celtic (H) at 61.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:09+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 7–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 61.5%

Low
1 61.5%X 20.4%2 18.2%
Double chance

1X · 81.8%

Low
1X 81.8%X2 38.5%12 79.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:09+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 61.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 23%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings47.5%31.2%21.2%
Market · margin removed61.5%20.4%18.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson70.4%17.4%12.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Celtic

WWWLW

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-11Motherwell (A)2–0
2026-09-20Rangers (H)0–1
2026-09-09St Johnstone (A)1–0
2026-09-05St Mirren (A)2–1
2026-09-02Aberdeen (H)3–0

Hearts

WWLDW

Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10St Mirren (H)5–0
2026-09-19Kilmarnock (A)1–1
2026-09-15Falkirk (A)1–2
2026-09-06Dundee (H)2–1
2026-09-03Hibernian (A)3–1

Head to head

2026-05-16 · Celtic 3–1 Hearts

2026-01-25 · Hearts 2–2 Celtic

2025-12-07 · Celtic 1–2 Hearts

2025-10-26 · Hearts 3–1 Celtic

2025-03-29 · Celtic 3–0 Hearts

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:09+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 05c3c51398e057af7571f64ec4fa010000693f15b74380db4c501994f1a3ac46
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →