Cesena vs Catanzaro prediction
C
2026-11-07 · I2 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Cesena vs Catanzaro prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Cesena (H) at 44.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:59+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 44.9%
Low12 · 72.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:59+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-07T12:55:49+00:00. 4.2 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-07T13:02:13+00:00.
1 · 47.0%
✓ Correct1X · 74.3%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 44.9% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 27.2% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Catanzaro | 27.9% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Cesena
Draw
Catanzaro
All event markets · 3
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-11-07?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $27.97K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6181887Fetched 2026-11-11T10:46:57+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-08T17:09:37.268495Z
Will Cesena FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $7.95K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6181889Fetched 2026-11-11T10:46:57+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-08T15:59:41.244026Z
Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-11-07?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $6.57K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6181891Fetched 2026-11-11T10:46:57+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-08T17:11:40.148142Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-07T13:49:54+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 33.2% | 38.4% | 28.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 44.9% | 27.2% | 27.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 37.6% | 24.9% | 37.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Cesena
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Catanzaro
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-21 · Cesena 3–1 Catanzaro
2025-12-27 · Catanzaro 2–0 Cesena
2025-02-01 · Catanzaro 4–2 Cesena
2024-08-28 · Cesena 2–0 Catanzaro
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 596e2e50154fe05b14570efdc87e89a7cdb1124e6d95704f983f35d766bb8a99
Model: existing-source-policy-v1