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Ceuta vs Oviedo prediction

2026-10-18 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Ceuta vs Oviedo match analysis

What is the Ceuta vs Oviedo prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Oviedo (A) at 40.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 40.1%

Low
1 31.1%X 28.8%2 40.1%
Double chance

12 · 71.2%

Low
1X 59.9%X2 68.9%12 71.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 40.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 9%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.1%37.1%35.7%
Market · margin removed31.1%28.8%40.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson31.1%27.9%41.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Ceuta

LDWDL

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-10Sabadell (H)1–2
2026-10-04Castellon (A)1–1
2026-09-26Sociedad B (H)3–1
2026-09-20Valladolid (H)1–1
2026-09-11Burgos (A)1–3

Oviedo

WLWLW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-12Eibar (H)3–1
2026-10-02Eldense (A)1–4
2026-09-27Sp Gijon (H)2–0
2026-09-20Sabadell (A)1–3
2026-09-13Valladolid (A)3–0

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:20+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 9034ef1242875df1a9dd5233ed3fda562162fbe205aea5643b7a6a9d8ad1c531
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →