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Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco prediction

2026-11-14 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-11-14T23:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco match analysis

What is the Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Vasco (A) at 68.9%. The double-chance call is X2 at 87.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 68.9%

Low
1 12.3%X 18.9%2 68.9%
Double chance

X2 · 87.7%

Low
1X 31.1%X2 87.7%12 81.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

Picks may change until this cutoff. Only the frozen picks will be scored.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 68.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 39%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings23.4%33.4%43.2%
Market · margin removed12.3%18.9%68.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson42.7%27.1%30.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-06. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Chapecoense-SC

LLWLL

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-11-03Mirassol (H)1–2
2026-10-28Bragantino (A)0–3
2026-10-24Fluminense (H)2–1
2026-10-17Botafogo RJ (A)0–1
2026-10-12Athletico-PR (H)1–4

Vasco

DLWLW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-11-04Athletico-PR (A)3–1
2026-10-29Flamengo RJ (H)1–4
2026-10-24Corinthians (H)3–2
2026-10-18Sao Paulo (A)0–1
2026-10-10Remo (H)0–0

Head to head

2026-02-05 · Vasco 1–1 Chapecoense-SC

2019-12-08 · Vasco 1–1 Chapecoense-SC

2019-09-14 · Chapecoense-SC 1–2 Vasco

2018-08-26 · Vasco 3–1 Chapecoense-SC

2018-04-22 · Chapecoense-SC 1–1 Vasco

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-13T14:41:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-06
Data fingerprint: affe88dd224173c4741e9f99af0ec1dd7ff83f28584357ecc759b0a001d9758e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →