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Charlton vs Bristol City prediction

2026-10-10 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Charlton vs Bristol City match analysis

What is the Charlton vs Bristol City prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Bristol City (A) at 42.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 42.0%

Low
1 29.5%X 28.5%2 42.0%
Double chance

12 · 71.5%

Low
1X 58.0%X2 70.5%12 71.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:18+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 42.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 12%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings30.1%39.9%29.9%
Market · margin removed29.5%28.5%42.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson33.8%30.4%35.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Charlton

DLDDL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-19Cardiff (A)1–3
2026-09-12Portsmouth (H)0–0
2026-09-09QPR (H)0–0
2026-09-05Stoke (A)0–4
2026-09-02West Brom (A)1–1

Bristol City

WWLLW

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-18Watford (H)1–0
2026-09-15Lincoln (H)0–1
2026-09-12Southampton (A)1–4
2026-09-05Burnley (A)2–1
2026-09-01Preston (A)3–1

Head to head

2026-04-03 · Charlton 1–2 Bristol City

2025-08-16 · Bristol City 0–0 Charlton

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:18+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 73b4ee490ca26edcf5fa180549e1237c5f74743887f0fba6a76ec17a1470fddf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →