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Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction

2026-10-24 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Cheltenham vs Newport County match analysis

What is the Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Cheltenham (H) at 36.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 36.7%

Low
1 36.7%X 27.5%2 35.8%
Double chance

12 · 72.5%

Low
1X 64.2%X2 63.3%12 72.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:51+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 36.7%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings40.8%34.6%24.6%
Market · margin removed36.7%27.5%35.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson44.8%24.0%31.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Cheltenham

WLLLW

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-20Fleetwood Town (H)4–2
2026-10-17Oldham (A)1–4
2026-10-10Salford (H)0–2
2026-10-03Accrington (A)0–2
2026-09-26Chesterfield (H)2–1

Newport County

WDWDD

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-20Rotherham (A)2–2
2026-10-17York (H)1–1
2026-10-10Colchester (H)1–0
2026-10-03Gillingham (A)0–0
2026-09-26Grimsby (H)2–1

Head to head

2026-04-18 · Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County

2025-10-18 · Newport County 0–2 Cheltenham

2025-02-22 · Newport County 0–3 Cheltenham

2024-08-10 · Cheltenham 3–2 Newport County

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:51+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 906e8c55c4ae728c3d5f184884575cfa6cb5ed8a72a8aac97035c64889bb24ff
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →