Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction
AF2026-11-01 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-11-01T05:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Avispa Fukuoka (A) at 41.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 41.8%
Low12 · 71.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:53+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 41.8%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 35.6% | 37.2% | 27.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 29.8% | 28.4% | 41.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 31.3% | 28.1% | 40.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Chiba
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Avispa Fukuoka
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: e40287908db5aa9fd0a63983a6c3624158985c094ec248e08b5c4bab88baecf5
Model: existing-source-policy-v1