Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao Hainiu prediction
QH2026-10-24 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-24T07:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Qingdao Hainiu prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Chongqing Tonglianglong (H) at 50.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-17T07:32:03+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 50.7%
Low1X · 79.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-17T07:32:03+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 50.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 6%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 44.4% | 32.8% | 22.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 50.4% | 27.6% | 22.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Qingdao Hainiu
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 2.80
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-24 · Qingdao Hainiu 0–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: d44094913d52ca75d489365f458f6705b314be8623ee396046ea05c5d78b004e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1