Clermont vs Red Star prediction
RS2026-10-10 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Clermont vs Red Star prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Red Star (A) at 46.2%. The double-chance call is X2 at 74.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:31+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–3
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 46.2%
LowX2 · 74.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:31+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.4% | 36.4% | 37.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 25.7% | 28.0% | 46.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 34.4% | 28.9% | 36.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Clermont
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Red Star
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-20 · Clermont 0–1 Red Star
2025-11-22 · Red Star 2–2 Clermont
2025-04-25 · Red Star 1–1 Clermont
2024-09-24 · Clermont 1–1 Red Star
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: dea91dd83b1f7f5ddabd1b05b9382d591e45b709149ab94f493e661886d1329c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1