Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction
GC
2026-09-20 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-09-20T03:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Guadalajara Chivas (A) at 38.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:11:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 38.3%
Low12 · 72.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:11:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 38.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.1% | 36.4% | 26.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 34.6% | 27.1% | 38.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 55.8% | 24.9% | 19.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-16
Data fingerprint: eadabe97c5069055b35ae25a9aa6ff36a4ad1ac5e54f6f3e4e202cf33e83c390
Model: existing-source-policy-v1