Club America vs Toluca prediction
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2026-11-01 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-11-01T03:10:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Club America vs Toluca prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Club America (H) at 43.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 43.0%
Low12 · 75.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 43.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.7% | 36.2% | 26.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 43.0% | 24.2% | 32.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 53.3% | 23.5% | 23.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Club America
Scored / game: 2.80
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Toluca
Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-19 · Club America 2–1 Toluca
2025-11-09 · Toluca 2–0 Club America
2025-05-26 · Toluca 2–0 Club America
2025-05-23 · Club America 0–0 Toluca
2025-03-01 · Club America 3–0 Toluca
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-26
Data fingerprint: c876ac289c4bb574bce749c50f29edbe06b3df4e5acb20711263e9d8c93e66bd
Model: existing-source-policy-v1