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Club Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction

2026-11-09 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-11-09T02:10:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Club Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas match analysis

What is the Club Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Guadalajara Chivas (A) at 46.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:25+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 46.3%

Low
1 27.3%X 26.4%2 46.3%
Double chance

12 · 73.6%

Low
1X 53.7%X2 72.7%12 73.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:25+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.3%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings25.9%35.9%38.2%
Market · margin removed27.3%26.4%46.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson46.6%26.3%27.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Club Leon

DLWDL

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-11-02Cruz Azul (A)1–2
2026-10-25Toluca (H)1–1
2026-10-21Tigres UANL (A)2–0
2026-10-18Club America (H)3–5
2026-10-10Puebla (A)1–1

Guadalajara Chivas

DDWWW

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-11-01Atlante (H)4–2
2026-10-25Monterrey (A)1–0
2026-10-21Necaxa (H)1–0
2026-10-18Tigres UANL (H)1–1
2026-10-11Atlas (A)1–1

Head to head

2026-03-19 · Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Club Leon

2025-07-20 · Club Leon 1–0 Guadalajara Chivas

2025-01-29 · Club Leon 2–1 Guadalajara Chivas

2024-09-19 · Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Club Leon

2024-03-09 · Guadalajara Chivas 1–2 Club Leon

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:25+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 133119425f7c5217f480e4f646afb5e262445dc1f780cd4f1738ac321ce733c3
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →