Cordoba vs Ceuta prediction
C
2026-11-07 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Cordoba vs Ceuta prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Cordoba (H) at 63.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 63.8%
Low1X · 83.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-07T16:27:55+00:00. 2.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-07T16:30:12+00:00.
1 · 64.2%
✓ Correct1X · 83.6%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 63.8% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 20.0% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Ceuta | 16.2% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Cordoba
Draw
Ceuta
All event markets · 3
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-11-07?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $9.30K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6179432Fetched 2026-11-11T15:17:54+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-08T20:07:37.174614Z
Will Córdoba CF vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $2.54K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6179433Fetched 2026-11-11T15:17:54+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-08T19:47:38.566567Z
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-11-07?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $8.85K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6179434Fetched 2026-11-11T15:17:54+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-08T21:09:35.882506Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-07T17:20:58+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 63.8%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 41.8% | 34.1% | 24.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 63.8% | 20.0% | 16.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 59.7% | 20.3% | 20.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Cordoba
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Ceuta
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-25 · Ceuta 3–2 Cordoba
2025-11-02 · Cordoba 2–0 Ceuta
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: ff85fb71cc858931fb760706bbcebe97213b210217b01940ecd3a7df868d4bf2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1