Cordoba vs Eibar prediction
E
2026-10-24 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Cordoba vs Eibar prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Cordoba (H) at 44.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:16+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 44.0%
Low12 · 74.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:16+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-24T10:56:05+00:00. 3.9 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-24T11:02:18+00:00.
1 · 52.2%
✓ Correct1X · 76.6%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 44.0% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 25.5% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Eibar | 30.6% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Cordoba
Draw
Eibar
All event markets · 3
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-10-24?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $34.58K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5538664Fetched 2026-11-11T15:23:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-25T15:34:53.038763Z
Will Córdoba CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $10.44K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5538667Fetched 2026-11-11T15:23:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-25T14:02:52.192669Z
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-24?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $15.78K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5538671Fetched 2026-11-11T15:23:07+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-25T14:12:49.858333Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-24T11:54:39+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 27.4% | 37.4% | 35.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 44.0% | 25.5% | 30.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 36.7% | 25.7% | 37.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Cordoba
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Eibar
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-24 · Eibar 2–0 Cordoba
2025-12-13 · Cordoba 0–0 Eibar
2025-05-25 · Eibar 4–1 Cordoba
2024-12-17 · Cordoba 2–1 Eibar
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 13e6f170423536a48d5cb0b90ed806e30c8aed6fc08edb7e57efac43aab3ae9e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1