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Coritiba vs Gremio prediction

2026-10-26 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-10-26T23:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Coritiba vs Gremio match analysis

What is the Coritiba vs Gremio prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Coritiba (H) at 44.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 72.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 44.3%

Low
1 44.3%X 28.3%2 27.4%
Double chance

1X · 72.6%

Low
1X 72.6%X2 55.7%12 71.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.3%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.3%37.8%27.8%
Market · margin removed44.3%28.3%27.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson34.3%28.0%37.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Coritiba

DLLDL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-17Atletico-MG (A)0–1
2026-10-12Botafogo RJ (H)1–1
2026-10-09Fluminense (A)0–4
2026-09-20Vasco (A)0–5
2026-09-12Athletico-PR (H)3–3

Gremio

LDDDL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-18Cruzeiro (H)2–4
2026-10-11Internacional (H)1–1
2026-10-07Remo (A)1–1
2026-09-20Palmeiras (H)0–0
2026-09-16Botafogo RJ (A)2–3

Head to head

2026-04-26 · Gremio 1–0 Coritiba

2023-11-01 · Coritiba 1–2 Gremio

2023-06-25 · Gremio 5–1 Coritiba

2021-01-31 · Coritiba 1–1 Gremio

2020-10-07 · Gremio 2–1 Coritiba

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 2d286b196b1077ac95eb79158e825d845b6dd40b7b39a2f4bd746d02aca23f61
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →