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Cottbus vs Nurnberg prediction

2026-10-16 · D2 · Kickoff 2026-10-16T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Cottbus vs Nurnberg match analysis

What is the Cottbus vs Nurnberg prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Nurnberg (A) at 52.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 78.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:28+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 52.9%

Low
1 25.2%X 21.9%2 52.9%
Double chance

12 · 78.1%

Low
1X 47.1%X2 74.8%12 78.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:28+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 52.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 31%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings29.6%39.6%30.9%
Market · margin removed25.2%21.9%52.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson56.2%19.1%24.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Cottbus

LDWDL

Scored / game: 2.14
Conceded / game: 2.29
Clean sheets: 1 / 7

2026-10-10Darmstadt (A)1–3
2026-09-20St Pauli (H)1–1
2026-09-13Karlsruhe (A)3–0
2026-09-05Wolfsburg (A)4–4
2026-08-29Greuther Furth (H)3–4

Nurnberg

WDWWD

Scored / game: 2.70
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Wolfsburg (H)4–4
2026-09-19Karlsruhe (A)1–0
2026-09-11Hannover (H)2–1
2026-09-05Holstein Kiel (A)2–2
2026-08-29Bielefeld (H)4–1

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:28+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 769abf677f3b4a5b89a68890d64374dbeac4a94a67d3ad601ac8f752506a1696
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →