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Cracovia vs Legia prediction

2026-10-17 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-17T18:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Cracovia vs Legia match analysis

What is the Cracovia vs Legia prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Legia (A) at 37.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 37.8%

Low
1 34.1%X 28.0%2 37.8%
Double chance

12 · 72.0%

Low
1X 62.2%X2 65.9%12 72.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 37.8%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 9%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings25.8%35.8%38.4%
Market · margin removed34.1%28.0%37.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson29.7%26.4%43.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Cracovia

LLLLW

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Zaglebie (H)3–1
2026-09-19GKS Katowice (A)2–3
2026-09-13Wisla Plock (A)1–3
2026-09-06Gornik Zabrze (H)0–1
2026-08-29Radomiak Radom (A)1–2

Legia

DWDWW

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-11Wisla (H)2–0
2026-09-20Jagiellonia (A)3–1
2026-09-13Widzew Lodz (H)1–1
2026-09-05Motor Lublin (A)3–2
2026-08-28Slask Wroclaw (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-03-08 · Legia 1–0 Cracovia

2025-08-31 · Cracovia 2–1 Legia

2025-05-18 · Cracovia 3–1 Legia

2024-11-23 · Legia 3–2 Cracovia

2023-12-20 · Cracovia 2–0 Legia

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 5bed97990eea5a3b45ce3b3e4084f9e5a6308eb1693b788679d88dd9a655e037
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →