Cracovia vs Motor Lublin prediction
ML2026-10-30 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-30T17:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Cracovia vs Motor Lublin prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Cracovia (H) at 42.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:45:05+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 42.5%
Low12 · 73.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:45:05+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 34.1% | 38.0% | 28.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 42.5% | 26.8% | 30.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 51.2% | 23.2% | 25.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Cracovia
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Motor Lublin
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-16 · Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia
2025-11-22 · Cracovia 1–2 Motor Lublin
2025-04-26 · Motor Lublin 0–1 Cracovia
2024-10-26 · Cracovia 6–2 Motor Lublin
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: 92affc0a0e6405d84cb6ffa417eb9bc95dd12771d05cba3fbc4fb16716960489
Model: existing-source-policy-v1