Cremonese vs Benevento prediction
B2026-10-31 · I2 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Cremonese vs Benevento prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Draw (D) at 29.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 70.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:40+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
X · 29.3%
Low12 · 70.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:40+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; D has probability 29.3%.
- The existing decision policy selects a draw in this close match; the published pick differs from the largest probability.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 18%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 44.4% | 32.8% | 22.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 35.2% | 29.3% | 35.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 53.3% | 26.8% | 20.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-28. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Cremonese
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Benevento
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-28
Data fingerprint: 04e66601f1d2a45c01cd40052270ad13797ad0997d6de4b2edb438d5ec19a08a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1