Crewe vs Newport County prediction
NC
2026-11-14 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Crewe vs Newport County prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Crewe (H) at 45.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 45.6%
Low12 · 73.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 45.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 7%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 45.0% | 32.5% | 22.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 45.6% | 26.9% | 27.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 50.3% | 25.1% | 24.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Crewe
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Newport County
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2025-12-29 · Newport County 2–0 Crewe
2025-12-10 · Crewe 2–2 Newport County
2025-02-08 · Crewe 0–3 Newport County
2024-09-28 · Newport County 2–1 Crewe
2023-12-29 · Newport County 1–1 Crewe
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: ddbfd90b365bb144d3deb971a83261c3a6a04a643b72f1201246e328f1d15440
Model: existing-source-policy-v1