Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Crewe vs Rochdale prediction

2026-10-17 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Crewe vs Rochdale match analysis

What is the Crewe vs Rochdale prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Crewe (H) at 52.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 52.1%

Low
1 52.1%X 24.9%2 23.0%
Double chance

1X · 77.0%

Low
1X 77.0%X2 47.9%12 75.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 7%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings45.6%32.2%22.2%
Market · margin removed52.1%24.9%23.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson52.8%25.5%21.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Crewe

DDDWW

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Swindon (A)1–0
2026-10-03Bristol Rvs (H)3–1
2026-09-26Rotherham (A)1–1
2026-09-19Shrewsbury (H)1–1
2026-09-12Colchester (A)1–1

Rochdale

DWWWD

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Tranmere (A)1–1
2026-10-03Swindon (H)1–0
2026-09-26Fleetwood Town (A)2–1
2026-09-19Oldham (H)2–0
2026-09-12Walsall (A)0–0

Head to head

2023-02-25 · Crewe 1–1 Rochdale

2022-07-30 · Rochdale 1–2 Crewe

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 11b19ca8ac19b9178cd8e96330c42442373b60ddea9459999c77ac54d20345b2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →