Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng prediction

2026-10-17 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T11:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng match analysis

What is the Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Dalian Yingbo (H) at 52.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-10T11:01:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 52.8%

Low

1 52.8%X 25.1%2 22.0%

Double chance

1X · 78.0%

Low

1X 78.0%X2 47.2%12 74.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-10T11:01:32+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-17T10:00:00+00:00.

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods

The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 52.8%.
Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.

Method	1	X	2
Elo ratings	44.6%	32.7%	22.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson	52.6%	24.1%	23.2%

Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Dalian Yingbo

LDWDW

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-05Qingdao Hainiu (H)2–1

2026-08-28Beijing Guoan (H)1–1

2026-08-23Chongqing Tonglianglong (A)1–0

2026-08-19Shanghai Port (A)1–1

2026-08-15Yunnan Yukun (A)1–3

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

LWDLD

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-05Shandong Taishan (A)1–1

2026-08-28Shanghai Port (H)0–1

2026-08-22Zhejiang Professional (H)1–1

2026-08-15Liaoning Tieren (A)2–1

2026-08-07Beijing Guoan (A)0–4

Head to head

2026-05-19 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1–1 Dalian Yingbo

2025-09-14 · Dalian Yingbo 2–1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

2025-04-26 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1–1 Dalian Yingbo

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-10T11:01:32+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-18
Data fingerprint: d62a6a3534f36059e5a7eed41cea2a544084810ba5feb2bf63a70aa885ca41ec
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →