Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente prediction

2026-11-02 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-11-02T22:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente match analysis

What is the Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Defensa y Justicia (H) at 43.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 74.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:20+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 43.5%

Low
1 43.5%X 30.6%2 25.9%
Double chance

1X · 74.1%

Low
1X 74.1%X2 56.5%12 69.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:20+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 43.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 9%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.5%37.7%27.7%
Market · margin removed43.5%30.6%25.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson39.5%29.3%31.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Defensa y Justicia

DWWLW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-24Talleres Cordoba (A)2–1
2026-10-16Instituto (H)0–1
2026-10-10Union de Santa Fe (A)2–0
2026-10-03San Lorenzo (H)3–0
2026-09-18Central Cordoba (A)2–2

Independiente

WLDDL

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-25Boca Juniors (H)0–1
2026-10-18Racing Club (A)1–1
2026-10-12Talleres Cordoba (A)0–0
2026-10-02Instituto (H)1–4
2026-09-19Union de Santa Fe (A)2–1

Head to head

2026-04-18 · Independiente 3–1 Defensa y Justicia

2024-06-04 · Defensa y Justicia 0–0 Independiente

2023-02-20 · Independiente 0–2 Defensa y Justicia

2022-07-20 · Defensa y Justicia 2–1 Independiente

2021-08-21 · Independiente 0–0 Defensa y Justicia

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-30T08:44:20+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 3408b9d19c2d972a79d9dd482739cb1227a8ddab38d53b658f72139ab8428ded
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →