Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
PE2026-10-17 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: PSV Eindhoven (A) at 75.7%. The double-chance call is X2 at 89.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:05+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 75.7%
LowX2 · 89.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:05+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 75.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 29%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 16.8% | 26.8% | 56.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 11.0% | 13.3% | 75.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 5.7% | 9.0% | 85.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Den Haag
Scored / game: 1.12
Conceded / game: 2.38
Clean sheets: 0 / 8
PSV Eindhoven
Scored / game: 3.50
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 43b5c88c497127e90adfc37c13c4858ffb89a79874677e7e8f2e94fdb036ba28
Model: existing-source-policy-v1