Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
SR2026-11-07 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T17:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Den Haag (H) at 38.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:03+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 38.2%
Low12 · 74.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:03+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.2%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 32.5% | 38.8% | 28.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 38.2% | 25.7% | 36.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 30.5% | 24.5% | 45.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Den Haag
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Sparta Rotterdam
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 2.50
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: b37ac04401fc4b139a0306049aa6e105109371e7d6c276fb2f716e1cacf1120f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1