DCF

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC market sentiment

SCF

2026-10-17 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC match analysis

What is the Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC market prediction?

Market prediction: 2 at 39.3%. The market-derived double-chance prediction is 12 at 71.6%.

These are market-implied probabilities, separate from the Kickstatix model and excluded from its track record.

Market Prediction · This match is listed by the market feed. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. It is excluded from model accuracy and football-result statistics.

The saved market forecast and result appear below.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-17T13:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-17T12:59:11+00:00. 0.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-17T13:00:34+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 39.3%

✓ Correct

1 32.3%2 39.3%X 28.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 71.6%

✓ Correct

12 71.6%1X 60.7%X2 67.7%

Result from the resolved 90-minute market: Away win. A verified football score is not available.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-13T23:49:45+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Derby County FC	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Stoke City FC	N/A	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$53.67K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$48.07K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

Derby County FC

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Draw

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Stoke City FC

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

All event markets · 3

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-10-17?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $11.50K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5264159
Fetched 2026-11-13T23:49:45+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-18T16:37:26.218988Z

Will Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $15.68K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5264165
Fetched 2026-11-13T23:49:45+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-18T17:03:26.900246Z

Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-17?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%

Volume $26.50K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5264172
Fetched 2026-11-13T23:49:45+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-18T19:05:26.25377Z

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Market-only coverage. No model forecast or verified football result is claimed.

View the complete prediction record →