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Dortmund vs Elversberg prediction

2026-11-07 · D1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T14:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Dortmund vs Elversberg match analysis

What is the Dortmund vs Elversberg prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Dortmund (H) at 74.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 89.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 74.0%

Low
1 74.0%X 15.4%2 10.6%
Double chance

1X · 89.4%

Low
1X 89.4%X2 26.0%12 84.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:35+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 74.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings52.3%28.9%18.9%
Market · margin removed74.0%15.4%10.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson66.3%16.5%17.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Dortmund

WDDWD

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-10-31Bayern Munich (A)2–2
2026-10-24Ein Frankfurt (H)1–0
2026-10-17Union Berlin (A)0–0
2026-10-09Werder Bremen (H)2–2
2026-09-19Stuttgart (A)1–0

Elversberg

DLWLW

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 8

2026-10-30Mainz (H)4–1
2026-10-24RB Leipzig (A)0–4
2026-10-17Augsburg (H)4–3
2026-10-10Union Berlin (A)0–1
2026-09-20Schalke 04 (A)0–0

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:35+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 1ad8acd88d465fdbb3adc802948c615b7b704087eb05c5cb77c85a833f29c386
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →