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Dresden vs Magdeburg prediction

2026-10-18 · D2 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Dresden vs Magdeburg match analysis

What is the Dresden vs Magdeburg prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Dresden (H) at 38.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:29+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 38.3%

Low
1 38.3%X 25.0%2 36.7%
Double chance

12 · 75.0%

Low
1X 63.3%X2 61.7%12 75.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:29+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.3%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings32.0%39.0%29.0%
Market · margin removed38.3%25.0%36.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson44.5%22.6%33.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Dresden

LLDLD

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Osnabruck (A)1–1
2026-09-19Hertha (H)1–2
2026-09-12Braunschweig (A)2–2
2026-09-05Bochum (H)1–2
2026-08-29Heidenheim (A)3–5

Magdeburg

WLWDW

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-10Hannover (H)3–0
2026-09-18Greuther Furth (A)1–1
2026-09-12Kaiserslautern (H)3–0
2026-09-06Hertha (A)1–2
2026-08-30Holstein Kiel (H)2–0

Head to head

2026-01-24 · Magdeburg 1–2 Dresden

2025-08-09 · Dresden 1–2 Magdeburg

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:29+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 769abf677f3b4a5b89a68890d64374dbeac4a94a67d3ad601ac8f752506a1696
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →