Dumbarton vs Stirling prediction
S2026-10-17 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Dumbarton vs Stirling prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Dumbarton (H) at 39.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:13+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 39.7%
Low12 · 75.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:13+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 36.4% | 36.8% | 26.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 39.7% | 24.8% | 35.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 46.1% | 23.9% | 30.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Dumbarton
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Stirling
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-01 · Stirling 2–0 Dumbarton
2026-04-11 · Dumbarton 2–1 Stirling
2026-02-28 · Stirling 1–1 Dumbarton
2025-12-27 · Dumbarton 1–2 Stirling
2025-10-04 · Stirling 2–2 Dumbarton
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 516de210734db3893b417c947f9fd551d1b504e5342587706835dae107557b11
Model: existing-source-policy-v1