Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers prediction
SR2026-10-30 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-30T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Shamrock Rovers (A) at 47.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 47.9%
Low12 · 74.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:46+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 47.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 22.8% | 32.8% | 44.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 26.5% | 25.7% | 47.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 38.4% | 27.6% | 34.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-23. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Dundalk
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Shamrock Rovers
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-07 · Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk
2026-05-15 · Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers
2026-02-23 · Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Dundalk
2024-10-27 · Dundalk 0–1 Shamrock Rovers
2024-07-04 · Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Dundalk
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-23
Data fingerprint: fdb30c292f048796493dd283ce3068f6723b5d25374e1092da8eea3d63622a17
Model: existing-source-policy-v1