Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction

2026-11-06 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-11-06T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Dunkerque vs Guingamp match analysis

What is the Dunkerque vs Guingamp prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Guingamp (A) at 39.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 39.0%

Low

1 34.6%X 26.4%2 39.0%

Double chance

12 · 73.6%

Low

1X 61.0%X2 65.4%12 73.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:47+00:00, before kickoff.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-06T18:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-06T17:59:04+00:00. 0.9 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-06T18:02:11+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 40.3%

✕ Wrong

1 32.3%2 40.3%X 27.4%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 72.6%

✓ Correct

12 72.6%1X 59.7%X2 67.7%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-10T19:38:32+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Dunkerque	34.6%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	26.4%	0.0%	N/A
Guingamp	39.0%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$13.97K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$13.11K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

Dunkerque

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample+50.5 pp49.5% → 100.0%

Draw

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-50.0 pp50.0% → 0.0%

Guingamp

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-49.5 pp49.5% → 0.0%

All event markets · 3

Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-11-06?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%

Volume $4.57K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6111540
Fetched 2026-11-10T19:38:32+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-07T21:10:52.63324Z

Will USL Dunkerque vs. En Avant Guingamp end in a draw?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $1.02K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6111542
Fetched 2026-11-10T19:38:32+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-07T20:42:46.663684Z

Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-11-06?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $8.38K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6111544
Fetched 2026-11-10T19:38:32+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-07T20:40:50.198314Z

Historical closing observations (not scored)

Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.

Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-06T18:53:42+00:00.

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods

The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 39.0%.
Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 12%. Confidence reduced to Low.
Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.

Method	1	X	2
Elo ratings	35.9%	37.0%	27.0%
Market · margin removed	34.6%	26.4%	39.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson	40.1%	25.8%	34.1%

Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Dunkerque

LLWDL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-30Rodez (A)0–1

2026-10-23Metz (H)1–1

2026-10-17Nantes (A)3–2

2026-10-09Annecy (H)0–1

2026-09-18Pau FC (A)0–2

Guingamp

LLLWW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-31St Etienne (H)3–0

2026-10-23Clermont (A)2–0

2026-10-16Pau FC (H)1–2

2026-10-09Nancy (A)0–1

2026-09-19Red Star (H)1–3

Head to head

2026-02-06 · Dunkerque 0–0 Guingamp

2025-09-23 · Guingamp 2–1 Dunkerque

2025-04-07 · Dunkerque 3–1 Guingamp

2025-01-04 · Guingamp 1–1 Dunkerque

2024-04-13 · Dunkerque 0–1 Guingamp

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:47+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: a1b4281c71585ce6ec8f071914742e04aecda36476e1e8440f2fd59a117971d8
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →