East Kilbride vs Alloa prediction
A2026-11-14 · SC2 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the East Kilbride vs Alloa prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: East Kilbride (H) at 59.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:42:07+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 59.0%
Medium1X · 80.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:42:07+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.7% | 33.7% | 23.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 59.0% | 21.3% | 19.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 53.2% | 23.2% | 23.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-07. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
East Kilbride
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Alloa
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-09-19 · Alloa 1–2 East Kilbride
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-07
Data fingerprint: 1291e0c22da7452c48d4a96c4bb17ad4aa3d1f6f332fbf7391c2c52bd7f9d893
Model: existing-source-policy-v1