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Eastleigh vs Southend prediction

2026-09-30 · EC · Kickoff 2026-09-30T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Eastleigh vs Southend match analysis

What is the Eastleigh vs Southend prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Southend (A) at 54.4%. The double-chance call is X2 at 77.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-09-29T09:16:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 54.4%

Low
1 22.3%X 23.4%2 54.4%
Double chance

X2 · 77.7%

Low
1X 45.6%X2 77.7%12 76.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-09-29T09:16:55+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 54.4%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 14%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings25.0%35.0%40.1%
Market · margin removed22.3%23.4%54.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson27.8%26.4%45.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Eastleigh

LDLWL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-26Harrogate (A)1–4
2026-09-19Carlisle (H)1–0
2026-09-15Sutton (A)1–2
2026-09-12Boreham Wood (H)1–1
2026-09-04Altrincham (A)1–2

Southend

WDWWL

Scored / game: 2.50
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-26Barrow (H)2–4
2026-09-19Gateshead (A)6–1
2026-09-15Tamworth (H)3–1
2026-09-12Carlisle (A)2–2
2026-09-05Yeovil (H)3–2

Head to head

2026-01-20 · Southend 4–1 Eastleigh

2025-09-24 · Eastleigh 2–1 Southend

2025-03-22 · Eastleigh 1–2 Southend

2024-09-10 · Southend 2–0 Eastleigh

2024-01-13 · Eastleigh 0–1 Southend

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-09-29T09:16:55+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-26
Data fingerprint: c7a6d205c7c2970e1808c05457c94d7ff0e79e100b07c2ce6a6d65ada9bcdab4
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →