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Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton prediction

2026-10-31 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton match analysis

What is the Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Edinburgh City (H) at 53.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:56+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 53.2%

Low
1 53.2%X 23.6%2 23.2%
Double chance

1X · 76.8%

Low
1X 76.8%X2 46.8%12 76.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:56+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 53.2%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings37.0%36.5%26.5%
Market · margin removed53.2%23.6%23.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson40.4%24.2%35.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-17. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Edinburgh City

WWDLD

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-17Elgin (A)0–0
2026-10-10Spartans (H)1–3
2026-10-03Stranraer (A)0–0
2026-09-19Kelty Hearts (A)3–1
2026-09-12Stirling (H)7–3

Dumbarton

LWWLD

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-17Stirling (H)1–1
2026-10-10Clyde (A)1–2
2026-10-03Forfar (H)2–1
2026-09-19Spartans (H)3–0
2026-09-12Stranraer (A)1–3

Head to head

2026-08-15 · Dumbarton 0–3 Edinburgh City

2026-05-02 · Edinburgh City 5–0 Dumbarton

2026-01-31 · Dumbarton 1–2 Edinburgh City

2025-12-06 · Edinburgh City 4–3 Dumbarton

2025-08-30 · Dumbarton 1–2 Edinburgh City

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-30T09:55:56+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-17
Data fingerprint: ade6319eb67242dc4b3b86dfc7c9ba28d73a420e6fafaab07109ada9687df498
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →