Edinburgh City vs Spartans prediction
S2026-10-10 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Edinburgh City vs Spartans prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Spartans (A) at 38.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–3
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 38.7%
Low12 · 74.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:46+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 38.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 29.3% | 39.3% | 31.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 35.8% | 25.5% | 38.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 35.0% | 23.9% | 41.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Edinburgh City
Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Spartans
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-08 · Spartans 2–2 Edinburgh City
2026-04-04 · Edinburgh City 0–3 Spartans
2026-02-14 · Spartans 0–0 Edinburgh City
2025-12-27 · Edinburgh City 1–3 Spartans
2025-10-04 · Spartans 0–1 Edinburgh City
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: 2d53958de0fcaa352321a82a66f1ab48e27633f34e8d5cd60c5fc6dd2feb15cf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1