Eldense vs Granada prediction
G
2026-11-01 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-01T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Eldense vs Granada prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Eldense (H) at 42.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:56:06+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 42.5%
Low12 · 72.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:56:06+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-01T11:52:56+00:00. 7.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-01T12:06:06+00:00.
1 · 40.3%
✕ Wrong12 · 71.6%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 42.5% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 27.2% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Granada | 30.3% | 100.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Eldense
Draw
Granada
All event markets · 3
Will CD Eldense win on 2026-11-01?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $3.96K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5915461Fetched 2026-11-11T03:43:53+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-02T16:43:26.443801Z
Will CD Eldense vs. Granada CF end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $2.64K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5915463Fetched 2026-11-11T03:43:53+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-02T14:53:26.660515Z
Will Granada CF win on 2026-11-01?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $17.17K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5915466Fetched 2026-11-11T03:43:53+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-02T16:43:26.443801Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-01T12:59:27+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 29.6% | 39.6% | 30.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 42.5% | 27.2% | 30.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 32.6% | 26.4% | 41.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Eldense
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Granada
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2025-01-31 · Eldense 0–3 Granada
2024-11-09 · Granada 3–2 Eldense
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-26
Data fingerprint: 01ff3b1e28622a6d28ba99376438ea12beb463d5e37de13cddf78e02fdbb75a0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1