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Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction

2026-10-23 · SWE · Kickoff 2026-10-23T17:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Elfsborg vs Malmo FF match analysis

What is the Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Elfsborg (H) at 48.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:23+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 48.2%

Low
1 48.2%X 23.9%2 27.9%
Double chance

12 · 76.1%

Low
1X 72.1%X2 51.8%12 76.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:23+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.4%37.8%27.8%
Market · margin removed48.2%23.9%27.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson33.0%25.0%42.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Elfsborg

LWWWD

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-18Sirius (A)2–2
2026-10-12Halmstad (H)4–0
2026-09-20Djurgarden (A)2–1
2026-09-13Kalmar (H)1–0
2026-09-06Brommapojkarna (A)1–2

Malmo FF

DWLWL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-18Hacken (H)0–1
2026-10-12Kalmar (H)1–0
2026-09-19Vasteras SK (A)0–2
2026-09-13Orgryte (H)4–1
2026-09-07AIK (H)0–0

Head to head

2026-07-26 · Malmo FF 1–2 Elfsborg

2025-09-14 · Elfsborg 2–2 Malmo FF

2025-04-07 · Malmo FF 2–1 Elfsborg

2024-05-28 · Malmo FF 2–1 Elfsborg

2024-05-05 · Elfsborg 3–1 Malmo FF

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:57:23+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 874510f4b76429d9f94681f1650ba04f79094badafee08a8cd3f8029b5acd49d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →