Elgin vs Dumbarton prediction
D2026-11-07 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Elgin vs Dumbarton prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Elgin (H) at 55.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:08+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 55.6%
Medium1X · 78.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:08+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 55.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.0% | 34.0% | 24.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 55.6% | 23.1% | 21.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 40.0% | 25.3% | 34.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-31. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Elgin
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Dumbarton
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-09-05 · Dumbarton 2–1 Elgin
2026-03-14 · Elgin 1–1 Dumbarton
2026-01-24 · Dumbarton 2–2 Elgin
2025-11-15 · Elgin 2–0 Dumbarton
2025-08-16 · Dumbarton 1–1 Elgin
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-31
Data fingerprint: 7d67d9a11f6582d1a6697bc02dc604c5dca9ec44acd9b3af3f9181cab14a42bf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1