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Elgin vs Edinburgh City prediction

2026-10-17 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Elgin vs Edinburgh City match analysis

What is the Elgin vs Edinburgh City prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Elgin (H) at 44.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:13+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 44.0%

Low
1 44.0%X 25.3%2 30.7%
Double chance

12 · 74.7%

Low
1X 69.3%X2 56.0%12 74.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:13+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.0%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings39.2%35.4%25.4%
Market · margin removed44.0%25.3%30.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson45.3%23.1%31.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Elgin

LLLWW

Scored / game: 2.70
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Forfar (A)2–1
2026-10-03Clyde (H)6–2
2026-09-19Stranraer (H)1–5
2026-09-12Annan Athletic (A)0–2
2026-09-05Dumbarton (A)1–2

Edinburgh City

LWWDL

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Spartans (H)1–3
2026-10-03Stranraer (A)0–0
2026-09-19Kelty Hearts (A)3–1
2026-09-12Stirling (H)7–3
2026-09-05Clyde (A)2–3

Head to head

2026-08-01 · Edinburgh City 0–5 Elgin

2026-03-21 · Edinburgh City 0–3 Elgin

2026-02-24 · Elgin 3–0 Edinburgh City

2025-11-08 · Edinburgh City 1–3 Elgin

2025-08-23 · Elgin 2–4 Edinburgh City

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:13+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 516de210734db3893b417c947f9fd551d1b504e5342587706835dae107557b11
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →