Exeter vs Cheltenham prediction
C2026-11-14 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T12:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Exeter vs Cheltenham prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Exeter (H) at 50.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 50.2%
Low1X · 76.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Picks may change until this cutoff. Only the frozen picks will be scored.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 39.9% | 35.0% | 25.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 50.2% | 26.1% | 23.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 47.0% | 32.0% | 21.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Exeter
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 6 / 10
Cheltenham
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: ddbfd90b365bb144d3deb971a83261c3a6a04a643b72f1201246e328f1d15440
Model: existing-source-policy-v1