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FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus prediction

2026-10-18 · DNK · Kickoff 2026-10-18T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus match analysis

What is the FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: FC Copenhagen (H) at 58.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:20+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 58.9%

Medium
1 58.9%X 22.5%2 18.6%
Double chance

1X · 81.4%

Medium
1X 81.4%X2 41.1%12 77.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:20+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings41.8%34.1%24.1%
Market · margin removed58.9%22.5%18.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson59.6%21.8%18.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

FC Copenhagen

WWWWL

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-11Midtjylland (A)1–2
2026-09-20Brondby (A)1–0
2026-09-11Horsens (H)2–0
2026-09-06Odense (A)5–0
2026-09-03Nordsjaelland (H)2–0

Aarhus

LDLDW

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-12Sonderjyske (H)3–0
2026-09-20Horsens (A)2–2
2026-09-13Nordsjaelland (A)0–2
2026-09-05Silkeborg (H)2–2
2026-09-02Midtjylland (H)0–2

Head to head

2025-11-30 · Aarhus 2–0 FC Copenhagen

2025-08-08 · FC Copenhagen 2–3 Aarhus

2025-04-27 · Aarhus 1–3 FC Copenhagen

2025-04-21 · FC Copenhagen 3–1 Aarhus

2024-11-10 · Aarhus 1–1 FC Copenhagen

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:20+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 1dda3843e608897b9ad856a5a660e5e95b2cda1dcc5e5b1720c01d0cdbb5669f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →